Monday, January 26, 2009
An addition and correction to yesterday’s entry of the Moscow Minute. While we are predicting the natural gas crisis between Russia and Ukraine, we were talking about the near-term to intermediate-term, of course not long-term. The reasons for this involve the complexities of the Ukrainian political environment. If the anti-Russian candidate wins the next presidency of Ukraine, all bets are off and another crisis is very possible. The reasons for this include political and nationalistic identity as well as economic motivation. If the pro-Russian candidate wins, look for a much more harmonious relationship for much the same reasons. Areas of potential development and cooperation are many in the fields of business, trade, and foreign policy. We will be watching elections in Ukraine for their economic impact upon Russia, and you should too.
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All 3 Ukrainian leaders: Ms. Timoshenko, Mr. Yanukovich and current president Ushenko,already demonstrated an anti-Russian sentiment.
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